Denver Finally Shifting Toward Buyer’s Home-Sales Market, New Report Shows

DMAR isn’t ready to declare the return of a buyer’s market quite yet. But the metrics are certainly shifting in that direction.

The survey focuses on greater Denver, an eleven-county zone that includes the core metro counties as well as contiguous areas such as Gilpin, Clear Creek, Park and Elbert counties. IIn July, the average price for a detached home in this area settled at $781,631, down from the adjusted figure of $807,002 in June. The median price is also incrementally lower: $650,000 in July versus $650,000 in June.

Clues regarding this modest drop can be found in other DMAR stats. For example, new listings in July numbered 4,565, a 19.74 percent dip from the 5,675 in June. However, active listings at the end of the month jumped by more than 20 percent, from 4,684 at the close of June to 5,650 at the end of July, indicating that factors such as rising interest rates may finally be having an effect. Likewise, closed transactions tumbled from 3,799 in June to 3,010 in July.

Such developments are relatively commonplace during the hottest days of summer along the Front Range, and the report’s authors see their return as evidence that the market is becoming more balanced. Nonetheless, a graphic from the report built with figures from January 2008 to July 2022 reveals that active listings at the end of the month hadn’t exceeded the closings total in two years…until now.

The yellow line corresponds to active listings at the end of each month, while the blue line shows sales that closed over the same periods:

click to enlarge

The average cost of a detached home in Denver surpassed $700,000 for the first time in May 2021, en route to a record-setting $728,385 in June. That was followed by some back-and-forth slippage: $687,176 in July, $685,832 in August, $688,629 in September and $684,700 in October.

But in both November and December, the average again broke the $700,000 barrier, landing at $704,716 at the end of the year before descending to $688,127 in January 2022. This drop proved short-lived, however: The February 2022 average, adjusted to $738,472, was the highest ever recorded by DMAR, and March hit $793,836. But April’s $825,073 figure left that in the dust, and a dip in May to $803,835 was followed quickly by a bump of more than $3,000 in June.

Of course, the average and median prices in July 2022 were still considerably higher than they were at the same time in 2021, by 12.02 percent and 8.47 percent, respectively. But they still reflected a drop over this year’s highs.

The average number of days that detached homes lingered on the Multiple Listings Service, or MLS, was thirteen in July, as compared to eleven in June, and the median stay ratcheted from five days in June to seven in July. Meanwhile, the typical price at closing last month was 100.73 percent, just a smidgen over list price.

Colleen Covell, a metro Denver realtor who serves as a member of the DMAR market-trends committee, welcomes these developments. “Just as July gives us some breathing room to travel and enjoy our summer vacations, it brings buyers in the market some breathing room with longer showing windows, more time to consider making an offer, less competition and slowing prices,” she says. “Sellers, meanwhile, need to appreciate this shift in the landscape and adjust their expectations. Many homes are not going under contract in the first week, there will be under-asking price offers and contingencies won’t be waived. Just like it used to be, pre-pandemic! All in all, a return to normal is on the horizon this year.”

Click to read the Denver Metro Association of Realtors’ August 2022 market-trends report.