Best same-game parlay for San Diego State vs. UConn in National Championship Game

The National Championship is Monday night and everybody is looking to get in their final college basketball bets of the season.

While you can check out our game preview here, this is going to focus on a same-game parlay focused on a particular game script with UConn cutting down the nets. The Huskies have torn through the NCAA Tournament field and will attempt to be the fifth team to win all six games by double digits with another 10-plus point win against San Diego State.

Here’s my same-game parlay for the National Championship game:

Best same game parlay picks for San Diego State vs. UConn

• San Diego State team total UNDER 62.5 Points
• Jordan Hawkins OVER 2.5 three pointers made
• Darrion Trammell UNDER 1.5 three pointers made
• UConn alternate spread -9.5

San Diego State team total UNDER 62.5 points

The Aztecs have arrived at the National Championship behind its defense, not its offense. The team may have gone over this mark in four of five tournament wins, but I believe they are in for a real struggle against a UConn team that can match its size inside and shut down the Aztecs ability to generate second chances.

UConn’s defense has been firing on all cylinders in its five games, shutting down two top five offenses to below 60 points in Gonzaga and Miami. The key to the Huskies D is its length, they limit opponents to the 12th lowest three-point rate in the country and are the second best rebounding team in the country.

SDSU had an outlier shooting game against Florida Atlantic in the Final Four, shooting 50% from beyond the arc, but UConn’s perimeter defense is superior and they are going to limit the Aztecs to one shot in a half court affair.

Either San Diego State grinds this game to a halt and wins a rock fight in the 50’s (like the Creighton game) or UConn shuts down another offense and wins by double digits by holding a team to a low scoring output.

Jordan Hawkins OVER 2.5 three pointers made

Hawkins was battling a stomach issue ahead of Saturday’s Final Four game, but that didn’t stop the Huskies’ best perimeter weapon to hit three three’s in the double digit win.

However, he’s gone over this total in every game this tournament and is shooting 50% from beyond the arc through five games. San Diego State may be holding teams to 28% from three this season, but FAU was able to hit on over 40% of its tries from beyond the arc with its ability to spread the floor out.

I see Hawkins stomach healing and the Huskies guard torching the nets yet again.

Darrion Trammell UNDER 1.5 three pointers made

We backed this in the Final Four and I like it yet again as Trammell is coming back to Earth after playing a pivotal role in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight. While the SDSU guard scored a combined 33 points in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight, while hitting four of his nine three-point shots, he struggled in the FAU victory, scoring five points on one-of-four shooting.

The main reason why is that Trammell isn’t a plus matchup against the length of either FAU and now UConn, who has several guards that stand 6’5″ and run teams off the three-point line. Trammell is only 5’10” and is going to struggle to get clean looks on Monday night.

UConn alternate spread -9.5 

We don’t have a widget for this one, but you can find it at +125 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

As I alluded to above, UConn is trying to complete history as the fifth team to win all six NCAA Tournament games by double digits.

While I believe that this point spread is inflated, I do believe that it is shaded correctly and that the Huskies are in line for another blowout victory, so I’ll sweeten the odds by taking this alternate spread. From my game preview:

“San Diego State’s path to victory lies in limiting the UConn offense and making this a rock fight. We saw the team fall behind by double digits to Florida Atlantic as the team used it’s floor spacing to outpace the team from the perimeter, but the Aztecs fought back by getting to the free throw line and generating second chances.

However, that isn’t as viable against a UConn team that is second in the country in rebounding percentage. Florida Atlantic, while a great rebounding team in its own right, didn’t have the size to hold up against SDSU (328th in average height per KenPom). UConn is the much bigger team with Adama Sanogo and Donovan Clingan at center and the length at guard with the likes of Tristen Newton and Jordan Hawkins each standing 6’5″ in the backcourt. Overall, this is a top 40 team in terms of average height. For reference, SDSU is 241st.”

I think UConn runs away with this game early and its too big of a deficit for the limited SDSU offense to overcome.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.