Brighton vs Liverpool prediction, odds and betting tips

Liverpool must rediscover their consistency if they are to finish in the top four, but Brighton is not an easy place to go.

Brighton vs Liverpool odds

Here are the latest match odds for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool from Spreadex.

• Brighton: 23/10
• Draw: 14/5
• Liverpool: 16/5

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool predictions

After the turn of the year last season, Liverpool went on a magnificent run of form which almost culminated in them winning the Premier League title.

Jurgen Klopp’s side need to produce something similar this time around – but to finish in the top four, not win the championship.

Liverpool have been dogged by inconsistency throughout the 2022/23 campaign. It has left them with substantial work to do in the race for Champions League football: ahead of this trip to the Amex Stadium, they are seven points adrift of the top four.

We might be in the middle of January but the Reds have only played 17 games so far. There is still plenty of time to turn the situation around.

But a 3-1 defeat by Brentford in their last Premier League outing offered further evidence that Liverpool are a team in transition at best.

The Reds were profligate in attack, overrun in midfield and sloppy at the back, culminating in a comprehensive loss to a team that operates at a fraction of their budget.

If they turn in a similar showing here, Brighton will cause them major problems.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool betting tips

Instead of picking a winner, the best betting picks lie in goals-related markets in what should be an entertaining encounter at the Amex.

Over 3.5 goals – 11/8 (Spreadex)

When these two teams met at Anfield earlier this season, they shared six goals in a thrilling 3-3 draw. That was Roberto De Zerbi’s first game in charge of Brighton, for whom Leandro Trossard memorably notched a hat-trick.

The Seagulls have been prolific all season. Only Manchester City, Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool have scored more goals.

Indeed, the Reds have not had too much trouble putting the ball in the back of the net. 

Sadio Mane’s absence has been keenly felt and Darwin Nunez has not been the most consistent of forwards (more on that later), but Liverpool’s issues have come in other areas of the pitch.

The defence is nowhere near as resolute as it once was. The Reds have only the sixth-best defensive record in the division. That is by no means disastrous, but it is a significant decline from previous campaigns.

With Virgil van Dijk out injured, Liverpool could be even less secure at the back in the coming weeks. 

Brighton will look to exploit that on Saturday. They are capable of playing sublime football and will be in a confident mood.

In their last match they hit five goals past Middlesbrough. A few days earlier, they scored four times against Everton. That bodes well for the visit of Liverpool.

Evan Ferguson score any time – 21/10 (Spreadex)

The one thing Brighton have lacked since their promotion to the Premier League is a prolific scorer.

Glenn Murray reached double figures in 2017/18 and 2018/19, but Neal Maupay was notoriously wasteful inside the penalty area and the entire Brighton team made a habit of missing presentable chances under Graham Potter last season.

Yet there is hope at the Amex that Evan Ferguson could be the missing piece in the jigsaw.

The 18-year-old has certainly made a promising start to life as a Premier League footballer. In his three league appearances so far this season, Ferguson has scored two goals.

The fearless teenager has grabbed his opportunity by the scruff of the neck and he will have no fear against the likes of Joel Matip and Ibrahima Konate.

Some managers might be tempted to leave Ferguson on the bench for a game against opponents of this caliber.

But De Zerbi has always had faith in young players and the Irishman looks set to lead the line again on Saturday.

Given his impact so far, it would be unwise for Liverpool to underestimate Ferguson.

Darwin Nunez 2+ shots on target – 19/20 (Spreadex)

Spreadex offers a wide selection of interesting player markets, including for tackles, passes, assists, shots and shots on target. 

The latter of those is perhaps the most intriguing, and Darwin Nunez looks like good value to land at least two attempts on target in what promises to be an open game on the south coast.

The Uruguay international has had an eventful start to his Premier League career. Nunez has been erratic and his finishing has not always been reliable, but he is a player who unsettles opposition defenders.

Frequently described as an “agent of chaos”, Nunez is still raw and his end product needs work, but Klopp evidently has great faith in the former Benfica man.

His goal return is pretty decent too: in his first few months in a new country, Nunez has scored 10 times in 23 appearances.

Some of Liverpool’s best chances have fallen to him in recent weeks and none of Nunez’s team-mates can match his average of 2.5 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Even in a disappointing team performance against Brentford, the Uruguayan had three attempts. Against Leicester City a few days earlier, he had seven.

How to watch Brighton vs Liverpool

• Location: Amex Stadium, Falmer, England.
• Date and time: Saturday 14 January 2023, 3pm.
• How to watch: Not being shown in the UK.

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