ESPN Computer Predicts Game 1 Winner Of Warriors vs. Lakers

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SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 18: LeBron James #6 of the Los Angeles Lakers speaks to Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors during their game at Chase Center on October 18, 2022 in San Francisco, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

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The Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers will begin a star-studded second-round series Tuesday night.

Golden State hosts Game 1 at Chase Center, where the defending champions went 33-8 during the regular season. That home-court advantage may be the deciding factor in a near toss-up.

ESPN’s Matchup Predictor sees the opening game as a close call. However, the Warriors get the slight edge with a 51.6 percent win probability.

Golden State finished the regular season with just one win more than Los Angeles, which closed strong after a busy trade deadline. The Lakers eliminated the Memphis Grizzlies in six games, while the Warriors vanquished their recent road demons with a Game 7 win over the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center.

FiveThirtyEight’s model is a bit more confident in a Warriors victory than ESPN, giving the No. 6 seed a 64 percent win probability. The betting market is also backing Golden State, a 4.5-point favorite at most sportsbooks.

Stephen Curry and LeBron James, who squared off four straight times in the NBA Finals, will meet again in the Western Conference semifinals. Game 1 starts Tuesday at 10 p.m. ET on TNT.

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