FAU vs. Memphis prediction and odds for NCAA Tournament First Round

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One of the most intriguing 8/9 matchups of the opening round of the NCAA Tournament, is a battle between No. 8 Memphis and No. 9 FAU.

Not many people have talked about Florida Atlantic this season, but they had a dominant campaign from start to finish, going 31-3 overall. The Owls also had an impressive out of conference win against Florida from the SEC.

Meanwhile, Memphis is coming off a huge upset win against Houston in the AAC championship game. Can the Tigers carry that momentum into the NCAA Tournament?

Let’s dive into the odds for the game and then I’ll give you my best bet.

FAU vs. Memphis odds, spread, and total

Florida Atlantic Owls @ Memphis Tigers | Current Best Odds

Fansided

Florida Atlantic Owls
Memphis Tigers

FAU vs. Memphis prediction and pick

Florida Atlantic’s numbers are off the chart. Sure, we have to realize that they play in a relatively weak Conference-USA, but there are plenty of teams in the tournament from far worse conference with far worse numbers.

Let’s take a quick look at where they rank in some key areas:

  • Effective field goal percentage – 19th
  • Defensive efficiency – 16th
  • Extra scoring chances per game – 56th
  • Rebounding percentage – 20th
  • Effective possession ratio – 60th

Those are some damn solid numbers for a team that hasn’t been getting much public hype this season. Memphis ranks below them in every single one of those areas, most notably 161st in extra chances per game and 207th in effective possession ratio.

It’s also worth noting that Memphis is 20th in the country in two-point shot rate, and now they take on an FAU team that’s 11th in the country in opponent two-point field goal percentage, keeping teams to shooting 44.8% from down low.

I’ll back Florida Atlantic in what should be an intriguing game to watch.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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