Goldman Sachs misses first-quarter revenue estimates on weak bond trading

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David Solomon, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., during a Bloomberg Television at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference in New York, US, on Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022. 

Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Goldman Sachs reported first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Tuesday.

Here’s what the company reported compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by Refinitiv:

  • Earnings: $8.79 a share, vs. $8.10 estimate from Refinitiv
  • Revenue: $12.22 billion, vs. $12.79 billion

Unlike its more diversified rivals, Goldman gets the majority of its revenue from Wall Street activities including trading and investment banking. With the advisory business remaining subdued because the IPO window remains mostly shut, it’s up to traders to pick up the slack.

Heading into the quarter, analysts wondered whether turmoil during March — in which two American banks failed and a global investment bank was forced to merge with a longtime rival — would provide a good or bad backdrop to trading.

That question was seemingly answered by JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup, both of which beat estimates in part because of better-than-expected fixed income trading. Goldman has one of the biggest bond shops on Wall Street, so expectations are high.

So far this earnings season, big banks have mostly outperformed their smaller peers, helped by an influx of deposits after Silicon Valley Bank’s meltdown. But since retail banking plays a small — and probably shrinking — role at Goldman, much more focus will be on how trading and investment banking fared, and what expectations are for later this year.

Separately, analysts will want to hear what has come of CEO David Solomon’s proclamation in February that Goldman was weighing “strategic alternatives” for its consumer platforms business. That has been interpreted as potentially selling off the GreenSky business it acquired recently or offloading credit-card partnerships with Apple and others.

And they’ll likely ask for details about Goldman’s part in helping Apple offer new savings accounts; the product launched with a higher interest rate than the bank’s own Marcus product has.

Goldman shares have dipped 1.1% this year before Tuesday, a better showing than the nearly 17% decline of the KBW Bank Index.

Last week, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo all topped profit expectations amid rising rates. Morgan Stanley is scheduled to release results Wednesday.

This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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