North Carolina vs. NC State prediction and odds for Sunday, February 19 (Fade the Tar Heels)

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North Carolina vs. NC State odds, spread and total

North Carolina Tar Heels @ North Carolina State Wolfpack | Current Best Odds

North Carolina vs. NC State prediction and pick

Both of these teams have high-powered offenses this season, ranking 42nd (UNC) and 34th (NC State) in points per game.

The key difference? The Heels are a significantly worse defensive team, ranking 261st in opponent points per game and 131st in opponent effective field goal percentage.

While the Wolfpack aren’t an elite defensive team, they do defend the 3-ball well, limiting opponents to a 30.9 percent clip from deep this season.

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I’m going to bet the Wolfpack on the moneyline here, as they’ve gone 6-8-2 ATS when favored by 2.5 or more points, but they are money at home, winning 13 of their 14 games there.

The Tar Heels are getting some love for how they were expected to play this season, but this team has been terrible in terms of covering the spread and winning on the road.

Lay the juice with the Wolfpack to win this ACC battle.

ML: +120

NCST -2.5, O/U 154.5

ML: -145

Consensus betting odds

• Pick & odds as of February 19, 2023, 10:08 AM

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