Jan 7, 2023; Charlottesville, Virginia, USA; Virginia Cavaliers forward Jayden Gardner (1) celebrates with Cavaliers guard Kihei Clark (0) and Cavaliers forward Ben Vander Plas (5) against the Syracuse Orange in the second half at John Paul Jones Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
North Carolina and Virginia meet in Charlottesville, Virginia in a marquee ACC matchup on Tuesday night.
This is a battle of two contrasting styles with Virginia’s methodical tempo and pack-line defense looking to slow down the up-tempo attack from North Carolina. The Tar Heels have had a volatile season so far after making a surprising to run to the National Championship game last season, but can they get on track in a road conference matchup?
Let’s check out the odds and find out:
North Carolina vs. Virginia odds, spread and total
North Carolina vs. Virginia prediction and pick
While Virginia’s pace is one of the slowest in the country, third according to KenPom, I believe that we will still see North Carolina push the tempo a bit and find some success on offense. Whether it is Pete Nance (game-time decision) or a smaller lineup that has Leaky Black play up a position at forward, the Tar Heels should be able to generate pick-and-roll offense to open up the Virginia pack-line D.
The Tar Heels have had their fair share of shooting struggles this season, below 32% as a team on the year, but the team is top 75 nationally in mid-range percentage so they aren’t over reliant on getting to the rim.
On the other side, North Carolina doesn’t turn its opponents over, 325th in TO%, and Virginia is top 30 in 3-point percentage. With Reece Beekman fully healthy at forward, I believe that Kihei Clark can operate at point guard and set the table for an efficient Woos offense.
It’s never pretty taking an over in a Virginia game, but with North Carolina on the other side, I think we see a higher than expected scoring game.
Track all of Reed’s bets at Betstamp HERE!
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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