Best same-game parlay for FAU vs. San Diego State in NCAA Tournament Final Four

The 2023 NCAA Tournament has been as chaotic as any in recent memory, there are three programs remaining that have never been to a Final Four until this year.

The more surprising matchup of the two, Florida Atlantic and San Diego State, will go first on Saturday with a 6:09 PM EST tip-off. You can check out our full betting breakdown here, but let’s dive into a same-game parlay crafted for this matchup between the Conference USA and Mountain West champions.

Here’s a four leg parlay I’ve put together for this Final Four showdown that pays out +1185 odds

Best same-game parlay for Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State

• First Half Under 60.5
• Matt Bradley UNDER 17.5 Points+ Rebounds + Assists
• Darrion Trammell UNDER 1.5 Three Pointers Made
• Vladislav Goldin UNDER 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

First half under 60.5

San Diego State has put the clamps on four potent offenses in its run through the South Region, namely the last two in Alabama and Creighton. Now they face another strong offense in Florida Atlantic, but the Aztecs play at a bottom 100 tempo and have arguably the best three-point defense in the country, allowing teams to shoot below 28% from beyond the arc.

Further, SDSU struggles on offense. This is a team that wants to win in the 50’s or low 60’s, not get into a high scoring affair. The Aztecs lean on its defense to grind teams to a halt and I believe that will be the point of attack in the Final Four.

Moreso, the Owls allow a bottom third three-point rate, so SDSU will need to attack from the mid-range, where they are comfortable but could lead to a low scoring start.

I expect the pace to be slow and the scoring to be low early on, so give me the first half under.

Matt Bradley UNDER 17.5 points + rebounds + assists

Bradley struggled a ton in the second weekend of the tournament, combining for eight points, five rebounds and two assists across the Aztecs’ two wins against Alabama and Creighton. This is the team’s leading scorer, so while he may be more efficient in the Final Four, I can’t go over this number given I’m expecting a defensive minded effort.

Not to mention, Florida Atlantic is 51st in defensive rebounding rate and the team allows the second lowest assist rate in the nation, so there will be limited chances for Bradley to get in the box score.

Darrion Trammell UNDER 1.5 Three Pointers Made

Trammell made up for Bradley’s poor showings in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight, but it’s time to go against this three-point prop. Trammell hit three three’s in two games during the tournament and one in the other two.

This matchup isn’t great for SDSU’s three-point shooters due to the fact that Florida Atlantic is 70th in three-point percentage allowed and 97th in three-point rate allowed. I don’t expect many three-point shots for the Aztecs in the Final Four, both due to the team’s middling effectiveness (179th) and FAU defense, in addition to the fact that they are playing in a football stadium, which usually yields poor shooting from the perimeter. I’ll go under on Trammell’s prop, a 31% shooter from beyond the arc this season.

Vladislav Goldin UNDER 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Goldin had a monster outing against Kansas State, scoring 13 points and grabbed 14 rebounds while grabbing two assists but that was a favorable matchup for the FAU big man. That’s not the case on Saturday against San Diego State, who is top 70 in defensive rebounding and is 22nd in field goal percentage allowed at the rim.

Looking at the balance of the NCAA Tournament, Goldin hasn’t scored double digits in any other game nor had an assists. This number is inflated against a strong frontcourt defense of the Aztecs, I’ll play some natural regression and go under this total.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.